And when he had opened the second seal, I heard the second beast say, Come and see. And there went out another horse that was red: and power was given to him that sat thereon to take peace from the earth, and that they should kill one another: and there was given unto him a great sword. Rev. 6:3-4 KJV
Apparently people have short memories. In the decade following the collapse of the Soviet Bloc the possibility of war on the European continent was considered so remote as to be laughable. Then came the horrors of the Bosnian war as cultural and ethnic divisions splashed blood over such pretensions. Quickly however most slipped back into complacency, this time is different they said, it can't happen again, this isn't the Europe of the 90s. They are right, the situation in Europe isn't the same....it's worse. Unemployment in Greece and Spain now rivals that of the Great Depression. In France "youths" (or as Joe Pesci would say: "yutes") riot with impunity and whole swaths of the suburbs around Paris are no-go areas for the Gendarmerie. Fascists march through the streets of Athens with the tacit (and sometimes overt) support of the police. As the ill planned fiasco known as the Eurozone falls into chaos from its own internal contradictions (monetary union without fiscal union doesn't work, never has, never will) it is only a question of when, not if, a spark will set off the powderkeg.
The region with the greatest potential for conflict between nation-states is the Balkans (surprised?...I thought not) The biggest would be the centuries old, yet ever-present tension between Greece and Turkey. As Louis R. Golino, Senior Information Specialist with the Congressional Research Service of the Library of Congress puts it:
For over four decades disputes between Greece and Turkey, particularly over the Aegean Sea and Cyprus, have strained relations between these two NATO allies in the strategically important southeastern Mediterranean. This region is located at the intersection of Europe, Central Asia and the Middle East. In October 1997 NATO Secretary General Solana intervened to reduce tensions between Greece and Turkey. The December 1997 NATO agreement on a new integrated military command structure attempts to normalize differences between Greece and Turkey concerning control of air space over the Aegean Sea. Greece and Turkey are to share air control of this area from bases in Larissa, Greece and Izmir, Turkey. In recent years there have been frequent low-level military confrontations between Greece and Turkey in and over the Aegean Sea. Additional Greek-Turkish differences in the Aegean Sea area concern island sovereignty and oil and gas rights.The one consolation is that any possible clash would be an absolute disaster for the grossly overmatched Greeks and they know it. There is one area however where national pride and ethnic solidarity would demand a response from Greece and the consequences be damned...Cyprus. The Greek Cypriot government recently asked for a bailout from the EU as its economy crashes and burns. Yet at the same time it is seeking to be allowed into the "club" with the Greek Cypriot Government pursuing European Union (EU) membership, as is Turkey, and Turkey has indicated that EU admission for the Greek Cypriots before Turkey would be grounds for war.
Nor has the conflict in the former Yugoslavia fully played itself out. There are three provinces of Kosovo that have an ethnic Serb majority: Gračanica, Klokot-Vrbovac and Ranilug. Two of these are in the north bordering on Serbia and are functionally part of Serbia, attempts by NATO and UN forces to assert Kosovar government control in these area has been violently resisted. The situation as it is cannot continue indefinitely.
The situation in Macedonia also is potentially explosive, Mr Golino again:
(Macedonia's) population includes 25% who are ethnic Albanians, many of whom want to unify with Kosovo's Albanians and perhaps with Albania. In addition, Greece and Serbia have both sought to control Macedonia, in part by promoting nationalist groups within it. Greece contests the use of the country name Macedonia as well as its culture, traditions and symbols because it feels that Greece represents the only true Macedonians. While Macedonia's legitimacy as an independent state is questioned by Greece and Serbia, other neighboring states such as Albania and Bulgaria exacerbate regional tensions through disputes over minorities and language issues. If Greece became involved in a conflict over Macedonia (and it is worth highlighting that there is a Greek minority in southern Albania), that could prompt its rival Turkey to be drawn into the conflictThe greatest potential for violence in Europe is not between States in the European south, but within the nations of Europes heartland. Violence by large Muslim minorities,either unable or unwilling to integrate has spread across Europe. Ignored by the multi-culturally obsessed and politically correct elites of both the traditional left and right the common folk are increasingly turning to neo-fascist and racist groups such as the Golden Dawn and English Defense League for protection and to give voice to their frustration. The true depth of the potential for violence is hard to tell as any hints are deliberately covered up by a mainstream media which wants to pretend the problem doesn't exist, a stance which ironically may be making the situation worse.
The grand experiment called the Eurozone is dead, the only question is when, and where, the poisons leaking from its rotting corpse will cause a fresh outbreak of the pestilence of War.